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BlackChampagne -- no longer new; improvement also in question.: Earthquake!



Wednesday, October 31, 2007  

Earthquake!


Medium-sized earthquake here tonight, and since most of you reading this have probably never felt one, I might as well comment. This one was a 5.6 on the magnitude scale, and about 50 miles south from my location. I felt 2 or 3 distinct sets of shaking waves. The first was short, and I initially thought someone in the apt downstairs had slammed their door really hard. It went on for several seconds, and by then I recognized the distinctive sensation. Jinx was scared, sitting up and looking around on the chair she favors beside my desk, but she calmed a bit when I stroked her.

A couple of seconds later the second wave of shaking hit, and it was stronger. Like a group of people slamming several doors at once, repeatedly, for about 5 seconds. Lights swayed a bit, tendrils of overhead plants did too, and Jinx looked worried. It was shaking enough that I gave a thought to something breaking; the power going out or the cable or something I needed, and I stabbed Control+S on the Word document I was writing. I didn't get up, but I did take my feet off of the footrest to get ready to move if the apt began to slide sideways, or anything dramatic.

There were several more small shakes a few seconds later, but not enough to bother with, and with no power interruption or other problems, I was unconcerned. I did check online to see if there was any news; if it had been a 7.8 and flattened half of LA, and I'd only felt the distant ending of it up here. No luck, it was just a 5.6 down south, near San Jose. And after texting a couple of friends to hear how it felt in their locations, I pretty much forgot about it. Hence me not posting this until hours later, when I saw news about it on Yahoo and remembered that I was going to blog about it.

I've never really understood why people get frightened of earthquakes. They get headlines, and every decade or so one takes out a few hundred people, or causes a tsunami, but you've got better odds of winning the lottery than being more than inconvenienced by a temblor. On the dangerous side, you've got a vastly better chance of being killed in a car crash or slipping in the shower or any number of other random accidents in your everyday life. Of course that's logic, and logic generally has nothing to do with fears. Which is why they're fears.

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Comments:

I wouldn't say "every decade", more like every 2 or 3 years. There have been lots of horrendous earthquakes around the world in the last few years, normally in places that don't get much media coverage. You might see a 3-4 minute clip on two consecutive weeknights on the news, and that's it, even if 1k+ people were killed and many thousands more had their life ruined.

The worst one recently was the Indian Ocean Boxing Day quake in 2004 - wikipedia quote: "the United Nations lists a total of 229,866 people lost, including 186,983 dead and 42,883 missing."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_Indian_Ocean_earthquake

Also see this page for other earthquakes, particularly the "Recent earthquakes not listed above" section:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes

There is the kashmir earthquake from 2005 with estimated fatalities of >75K, earthquake in Java in 2006 with ~6k fatalities, another one in Peru just this last August with 514.

I think earthquakes seem to not be a big deal, because they tend not to hit western countries so much. and so the media doesn't really cover them.


Also, when that second jolt hit, you should have been up and out of your desk and standing under a doorway, or under the desk itself. Earthquakes can ramp up very quickly, and fore-shocks are not uncommon. It's hard to get somewhere safe if the 2nd jolt is very sharp and violent and you lose your footing or smack your head on something.


 

I went through a 7.6 earthquake back in 1977 (yes, I am older than you!) with aftershocks that continued for months. It one took place in Central America.

Which is why I will never live permanently in California or Central America ever ever again.

From what I understand, California is overdue for a really big one and might tumble into the sea anyday.

Not for me!


 

Yeah, it's kinda like sharks or bears. Sure, they might kill you, but you will rarely if ever encounter one, and when you do it usually won't be a big deal.


 

as a native californian, i think the problem is earthquake complacency. how long do you stand around before thinking, hmm...this might be the "one"? The earthquake was long but not particularly stronger than a rumbling truck, so we didn't run for cover. Then again in '89 I didn't move a step either since I was already sitting against a wall.


 

Rule of thumb: If shit starts shakin', hit the street. Yeah, you can brush off the small quakes, but chances are that if you're in an older house, it isn't very earthquake resistant, and for all you know, the small quake you felt could be the foreshock of a bigger quake.

And people fear them for the same reason they fear any natural disaster; it not only ruins everything they've built, but it ruins everything AROUND everything they've built. Then they have to play that whole refugee game while possibly coping with the loss of loved ones. But really, it isn't the loss of life aspect, but rather the "ripping your life to shreds in one fell swoop" aspect that incites fear.


 

Hayward fault is overdue for a major quake. If that goes, all homes built on bayfill will be destroyed (lots!) as well as severe damage and destruction in the East Bay. Really its just a matter of time...


 

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