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BlackChampagne -- no longer new; improvement also in question.: Election Day



Tuesday, November 04, 2008  

Election Day


It's dawn on election day, it's shortly after my usual bedtime, and I'm totally tempted to have a Dr. Pepper (from a bottle, of course) and stay up all day reading about Republican voter blocking efforts until election returns start coming in this evening. However, I will be sensible and go to sleep soon, cause then when I wake up in the afternoon I can see the good and/or bad news already determined, thus saving myself the tension and stress of living through it live.

No predictions from me; I mostly read mainstream news and leftstream bloggers, so all I've seen are weeks of poll returns showing Obama with a huge lead, has an enormous edge in registering new Democratic voters, gets 100,000 people to his rallies while McCain struggles to get 5000 when 3000 of them are elementary school students who were bused in for the afternoon, etc. And the opinions and analysis I read are either ravingly insane right wing fantasies about the slightly left of center Obama being a Manchurian candidate for a bunch of African Nationalists or else bomb-throwing radicals from the sixties that no one had heard for 40 years before this election, or left wing opinions about why it's right and just that Obama has a huge lead (or at least why it's right and just that McPalin has a huge deficit). With this input, I'm in no condition to make any objective predictions, but then again, neither are 99% of the other people out there, including almost all of the ones who will be blabbing away on cable news all day.

I'll be shocked if Obama doesn't win pretty handily, but then again, I thought Al Gore would win in 2004 too, so factor that into my predictive ability if you must.

For some election day humor, I just saw a link to this last night, after 27 of the 28 days had been posted, but they're funny enough to recommend anyway. Some comedy blogger posted, every day for the past month, a two-minute video of himself riffing crazy attacks on Obama. They're amusing, satirical attacks, kind of like reverse Chuck Norris facts. I'm sure they're scripted in advance, but the guy's delivery is pretty good, making them sound desperately improvised. The best of the 28 days highlight video has a number of LOL moments, and it's embedded below. I think I like the, "Barack Obama has a little straw and he sneaks up and slurps down your drink whenever you're not looking." one the best.




Update: Obama in a landslide. Just as the polls predicted. Watching his victory speech now, and it's okay, but nothing amazing. I'm listening with one ear while hoping the Secret Service did their jobs on the crowd tonight. An awful lot of gun nut, neo-Nazi types out there, and this kind of historic event could certainly galvanize their desperation.

As for Obama's speech, interesting tone to things. It was not a celebration, and I didn't see relief. He looked almost burdened, and aside from thanking people who helped him get elected, he focused largely on the future. This was much more the first speech of a president than the last speech of a candidate. And one who takes his new job very seriously. (Who knows what a field of shit he'd stepping into.)

Earlier, it was a classy concession speech by McCain. He seemed sincere. Certainly more sincere than he was during most of his attempts at pleading for understanding in stump speeches, when he had the glassy eyes and awkward, fake smile. Horrible, dishonorable, deplorable campaign he ran, but as much as the media has long loved him, I can easily see the whole "John McCain is a decent man who was just forced by his advisers to sling dirt and take the campaign into the mud." meme reborn.

McCain's all-white audience was surly and angry; eager to boo Obama and very reluctant to applaud any of the "let's pull together" homilies. Their biggest applause, by far, was when he mentioned Sarah Palin. She's definitely got the support of the dead enders and the radical fringe who remain willing to vote Republican, but I can't see how that helps her. She'd get their support in 2012, but all the moderate republicans and middle of the road, "maverick" voters that came to McCain don't like her or others from the fundie wing of the party.

No sighting of Palin, at least not on the MSNBC live video feed I'm watching, but I found a picture of her elsewhere online.



Update 2: Obama's speech wrapped up very well, after a slow middle section. More of that soaring rhetoric the right wing commentators were so despairing of all during the campaign. Turns out it might not be a bad thing for a politician to inspire people with his words, eh?

Also, when some of Obama's family came up on stage after his speech, along with Biden's and local politicians, there were more black people on the stage at his event than were in the entire convention center where McCain's concession speech took place. (Not counting the kitchen staff and valets, of course.)

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Comments:

There were some shots of Palin on the youtube coverage I watched (I think it was CNN?), and she looked like she was going to cry.

Actually I'm impressed that she didn't.


 

From the latest leaders debate of our two main parties, either of these will become our prime minister, the election is on Saturday:

"Both said they did not believe in God or in an afterlife, and that it was a woman's right to choose on abortion."


 

Finally, an end to all of the protests and hateful vitriol that embodied the American left under GW. And all it cost was the dissolution of the admittedly antiquated notion that we should be in control of our own finances.

Not too bad a trade-off, right?


 

"And all it cost was the dissolution of the admittedly antiquated notion that we should be in control of our own finances."

Yes, god forbid we have a Democrat who plans to begin reducing the vast Republican budget deficit by incrementally raising taxes on the rich. Who knows what other disasters might befall us with a Democrat directing the nation's fiscal policy? Why we might lapse into a recession as the entire financial, banking, and auto industries collapsed, requiring hundreds of billions in government bailouts! Oh wait...

Also:
"The unemployment rate is at its worst in 14 years. October retail sales were the worst in 37 years. The ISM manufacturing index is at its lowest level in 26 years. And the service sector index is at its lowest level ever."


 

So the left's concerted effort over the past 30 some years to ensure that people who couldn't afford to get mortgages weren't "discriminated against" had nothing to do with the recession, eh? It was all GW's fault. Duly noted. Kudos on noting the side effects of recession and implying that they're unrelated (and Bush's fault) as well.

Let me get this straight: you feel that the way to cut the deficit is to increase government income before reducing spending? The only way the deficit will shrink is when the cash flow stops, be it with stone-walling tax cuts or having no capital gains left to tax. Guess which will happen first under Obama?


 

No, the various civil rights legislation that forced banks to stop the redlining tactics they used to avoid giving loans to minorities, which as you note had been in place for more than 30 years, had virtually nothing to do with the bursting of the housing bubble. That's a rather scurrilous argument adopted by some right wing bloggers in an effort to blame the whole affair on black people. Loans of that nature made up a negligible sliver of the total mortgages in the US, and have been defaulted on at rates lower than mortgages on the whole.

Read the Irvine Housing Blog; I link to it all the time. It's anecdote, not data, but they've posted hundreds of case studies of foreclosures and short sales from Irvine, virtually all of them created by (formerly) rich white people, trying to flip properties as investments, or HELOCing themselves into bankruptcy through profligate spending. Loans to poor people were not the cause of the housing bubble, or the mortgage crisis.

In fact, actual foreclosures and bad loans are almost irrelevant to the financial industry's collapse, which was chiefly brought about by the virtually unregulated financial markets and their high tech credit loan swapping of derivatives and other crazed plans to leverage massive bundles of risky loans into AAA-rated investments. It's laughable for anyone to claim that hundreds of billions of dollars were lost due to bad housing loans; the damage came from the exponential multiplication of those losses thanks to them being repackaged and magnified on the financial markets.

Sadly, while the laxity of oversight that allowed such "investments" to exist and be marked as "risk-free" was largely spearheaded by Republicans and the financial industry lobbyists they use to write their business legislation, the Democrats didn't exactly put up a fight. The Ds aren't quite the fawning subsidiary of business interests that the Rs have become, but they're far from an actual opposition party in most areas. They certainly weren't in this one. Deference and reverence to our financial overlords is fairly mandatory in Washington, the past few decades.

And yes, of course Bush and Republicans get the blame for the recession/depression. There's fairly robust evidence that the nation's economy does better under Democratic policies. That aside, if the economy were booming and the deficit were shrinking as it was when Clinton left office, Bush would take the credit and McCain (or some other Republican) would have won the election handily. It's not, so they get the blame. Apportioning credit (or blame) for the state of the economy after one party has had 8 years to set the nation's financial agenda seems fair enough to me.


 

A financial guy from an accountancy firm came to our work to hold a lunchtime presentation about the current economic situation.

He said that the problems in the US market happened after the Enron scandal where the government decided to put in more regulation for on-balance sheet assets etc. So in an effort to keep doing what they were previously doing, the financiers moved the activity off the balance sheet in order to avoid the regulations.

That's just his opinion, and it's the first time I've heard that particular take on it, but it does make a certain amount of sense.


 

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